Tennis · resolved market
Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50909d639aa673a462d85c6ee0d24c2d0238e807eff785f38cdb5b0a27c89475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 19,827$10,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750.6 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.98 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 51c | 5,898$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.07 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 49c | 4,361$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.71 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 3,976$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.25 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…4990backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 1,786$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 50c | 1,673$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.11 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 50c | 1,228$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.47 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 51c | 863$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 49c | 816.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.92 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 583$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 528.8$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.78 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 49c | 349.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 49c | 306.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 47c | 217.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 51c | 192.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 53c | 189.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 497 | 52.3%260 W · 237 L | +28.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 49c | 187.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 51c | 167.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 146.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Under | 52c | 145.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 111.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 102.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 51c | 96.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 51c | 94.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 50c | 76.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 61.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 49c | 61.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…2ce1backed Over | 50c | 57.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 51c | 57.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 37.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 52c | 36.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 51c | 33.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 51c | 32.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 47c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Jessica Pegula vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs GauffPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.