Tennis · resolved market
Jessica Pegula vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab3e1f0a7a6758e6b84311a004d51e2b64937ae10567dcae544961996639a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 4c | 867.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under 2.5 | 49c | 658.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 655.01$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.96 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over 2.5 | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 282.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 244.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…fa14backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 244.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under 2.5 | 61c | 239.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 39c | 234.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 2.5 | 52c | 188.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 181.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 163.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 138.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ea8bbacked Over 2.5 | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under 2.5 | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 75.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over 2.5 | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 37.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jessica Pegula vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Pegula vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs GauffPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs GauffGauff won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Gauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.