Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9468419631bad2d636e689fc04058df3d2989e29a15294483d3774d37ec2ee7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 27c | 5,945$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.61 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 75c | 4,779$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.2 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked No | 21c | 3,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked No | 9c | 2,631$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 21c | 2,092$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.72 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…928fbacked No | 21c | 2,036$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked No | 22c | 1,750$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 10c | 1,455$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…2418backed No | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 1,250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 71c | 1,094$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 6c | 1,060$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 70c | 1,027$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.88 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 8c | 890$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 78c | 869.14$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…7a85backed No | 3c | 833.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed Yes | 77c | 799.98$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 19c | 681.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 660.64$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed No | 22c | 590$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 79c | 587.93$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 4c | 526.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 26c | 510.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a734backed Yes | 72c | 503.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked No | 27c | 448.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…e4bfbacked Yes | 71c | 443.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 28c | 433.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 428.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 13c | 363.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e89…8946backed Yes | 71c | 356.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 338.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 9c | 330.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 10c | 327.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 27c | 305$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 76c | 277.15$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 30c | 274.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 27c | 247.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 23c | 245$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 25c | 203.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 78c | 196$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 75c | 189.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 34c | 188.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 187.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 26c | 173$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 64c | 167.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 23c | 163$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 70c | 151.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed Yes | 78c | 129$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…609abacked Yes | 72c | 123.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 119.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 9c | 117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked No | 34c | 110.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 73c | 105.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked No | 15c | 103.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed No | 28c | 103.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed No | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 32c | 102.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed Yes | 78c | 100.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 72c | 98.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 88.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 74c | 63.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…7761backed No | 34c | 62.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…659abacked Yes | 79c | 58.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…d9eebacked No | 32c | 56.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…3c12backed Yes | 72c | 56.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…912bbacked Yes | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…6ebebacked Yes | 73c | 54.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 54.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 73c | 52.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…2650backed No | 21c | 52.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…28f3backed No | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…1d83backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?this page
- Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No won
- Will Nicole Williams be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No won
- Will Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No won
- Will Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No won
- Will Wala Blegay be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.