Tennis · resolved market
Jodar vs. Mochizuki: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961133593d229922010f745ca0e94367c07fbf236c390a1b7b84e559f8d7d349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 5,497$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.51 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 5,386$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 52c | 5,327$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.04 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,086$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.92 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 54c | 1,600$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 47c | 990.82$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.69 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…1cfabacked Over | 55c | 902.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 508.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 487.19$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 459.51$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.56 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 53c | 258.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…fb3fbacked Over | 52c | 161.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 52c | 129.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 48c | 117.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 49c | 110.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Under | 54c | 107.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 50c | 105.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 95.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 53c | 92.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…7ae4backed Under | 51c | 86.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 51c | 69.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 54c | 68.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 53c | 64.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 53c | 54.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Over | 80c | 53.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 44.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…fdc8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…b9edbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d36…93a1backed Over | 53c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 50c | 28.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 43c | 28.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 46c | 25.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…2c5ebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0c9abacked Over | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…e4c7backed Under | 53c | 18.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 76c | 17.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jodar vs. Mochizuki: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Rafael Jodar vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs MochizukiJodar won
- Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs MochizukiMochizuki won
- Set 3 Winner: Jodar vs MochizukiMochizuki won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)Mochizuki won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Mochizuki (+2.5)Mochizuki won
- Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro MochizukiShintaro Mochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.