TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under47c212,765$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,999.546949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c86,792$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,792.457843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c64,769$34,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,487.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c50,000$26,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,5002,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under48c37,781$18,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,134.723138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under47c22,500$10,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,574.9948952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c22,108$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,348.0511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under47c21,979$10,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,382.117353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over51c20,417$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,916.7761351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over53c15,878$8,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,462.6918860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c11,777$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,653.154,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over53c5,080$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.618241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c4,896$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.654,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c2,503$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.646,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over55c2,254$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9405,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Over49c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over52c1,675$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.863,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over53c1,652$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.2821052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c1,628$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.052,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over53c1,566$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0466050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c1,246$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.48,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over53c1,231$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.3791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c853.33$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over53c844.73$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.02825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Under54c753.64$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41013759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over53c598.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Over77c570.09$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.058775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c565$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.551,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under69c524$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.544,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c496$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.918,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over53c480.49$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.831,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over54c425.65$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.83647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Under24c412.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over52c389.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.21,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6264452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over52c380.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9934255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c373.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8912549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over52c362.26$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3143459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over42c358.13$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3540554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over51c354.9$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.936246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c341.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.232,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14445045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under37c259.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over43c253.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.937746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over70c248.1$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0614752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over42c236.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7358649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over53c230$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.12850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c228$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.161,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over53c223.08$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.953644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c218.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.51,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c211.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.912,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over62c210.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5121842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.341,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Over52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.163850%19 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Over47c191$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.852138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over53c188.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.877234.7%25 W · 47 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6813148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6818154.7%99 W · 82 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Under46c171.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.837846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Over60c149$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6535668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.836445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Over53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.517755.8%43 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under21c141.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1754715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c140.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over50c118$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.055,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0258…13bfbacked Over54c110$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.66346%29 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over53c109.83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.623737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under47c103.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over58c97.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9710154.5%55 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21bb…c5dbbacked Over52c96.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.273154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c95.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.056,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Over53c92.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.025042%21 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1a…72f3backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+68.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over53c88.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under60c84.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.732,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c77.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.661,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…06e1backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under40c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.391,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over49c67.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7670546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Over53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.277050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611148.6%54 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c50.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.535248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.518,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf10…b9b0backed Over53c43.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.433246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over44c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0834443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under55c41.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5831848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.