TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under58c297,007$171,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,895.5813856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over42c200,000$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,00085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c57,311$24,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,421.6711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Under53c28,500$15,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,205.058943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c14,814$6,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,186.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under28c13,713$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.5710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over75c13,345$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.3261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80016746.7%78 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c8,048$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,574.994,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over46c7,636$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.6277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over44c6,370$2,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.2419546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c5,121$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.154,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c4,522$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.541,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c4,443$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c4,096$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.762,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under54c3,038$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.656,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over43c2,835$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.252630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under55c2,415$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.662,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c2,268$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c1,820$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over46c1,702$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.1855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over45c1,682$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.2610545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under37c1,655$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over48c1,556$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.734044.4%151 W · 189 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c1,555$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.781,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c1,327$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.522,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c1,200$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.443,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9916848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c998.13$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.221,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c991.65$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under53c955.4$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c940.21$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.552,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under55c908.8$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8497050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52248653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over45c881.4$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7741051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over48c674.38$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over44c634.49$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.6661352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over44c611.88$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9751545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c590.43$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6461450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over71c586.88$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.194,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c585$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.751,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c560.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2370737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under55c543.69$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.031,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c504$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.723,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over44c486.36$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3626545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1964452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under56c467$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5226444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c452.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.52,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under58c400.05$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0310747.7%51 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over44c397$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under55c328.46$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.761,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under50c323.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.632251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over69c317.59$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.513,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over42c312$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4145045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over62c299.21$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.712549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Over69c270$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2635668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15b…0906backed Under40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c248.06$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.435,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under51c240.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.671,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over34c228.11$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0312924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over75c222$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.58264.6%53 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over42c218$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.443855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over45c216.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.541,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over52c206$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9234443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over46c202.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.682,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1a…72f3backed Under66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+68.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over43c194$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5826438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over65c173.85$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8568942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Under52c166.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.397147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under55c158.63$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.891,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d02…0732backed Under33c152$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under55c143.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1640447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under26c141.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under9c121$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4134639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Over65c119.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8525452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Under55c117.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8124547.3%116 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c112.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6367453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over45c106.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.912,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Under55c104$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.215145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Under55c102.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5324657.3%141 W · 105 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over45c102$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.153950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over44c101.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9922448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over42c101.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0149158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over44c101.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7917645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5573243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5629242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under29c96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8410253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under68c95.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.911,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under59c86.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2831848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c81.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.731,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.441236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under62c78.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under58c77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.661637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.