TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,130 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4309…03a6backed Colorado Rockies51c1,855$952 inWon+$902.972356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c1,717$734 inLost-$734.044,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Dodgers71c1,657$1,181 inLost-$1,181.031,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies72c1,217$878 inWon+$339.182,09351.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L+44.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies24c999$240 inWon+$759.241,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers6c489$29 inLost-$29.348,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…29a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers7c485.97$32 inLost-$31.91150%0 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x663d…7d23backed Los Angeles Dodgers25c390.67$99 inLost-$98.872634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c270.85$154 inLost-$154.3910,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Colorado Rockies64c163.08$105 inWon+$57.947147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Colorado Rockies22c100$22 inWon+$7868942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Colorado Rockies37c86.49$32 inWon+$54.4941236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies56c78.82$44 inWon+$34.894,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers38c71.46$27 inLost-$27.3311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8e…1b02backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c68.18$30 inLost-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786f…1dcdbacked Colorado Rockies54c68$37 inWon+$31.55461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c52.69$37 inLost-$3723166.7%154 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Colorado Rockies30c50$15 inWon+$34.9210154.5%55 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Colorado Rockies51c48$24 inWon+$23.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies44c45$20 inWon+$25.176,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies24c43$10 inWon+$32.775,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies45c25$11 inWon+$13.7890669.9%633 W · 273 L+94.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Colorado Rockies64c15.75$10 inWon+$5.671,48163.5%940 W · 541 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.