MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbba749ebf118ea00553612449c45162b4dd3f87075c3ffc755ab47812e59c30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 59c | 5,941$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.68 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 4,462$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 65c | 1,752$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.41 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 73c | 1,003$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.66 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Under | 62c | 938.31$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 8c | 585$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Under | 51c | 213.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 41c | 211$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 115.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 69c | 109.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 89.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.