Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77389794c2b320f054bc361f06b1eedf66540d03d0570f39c50f7728cfcac94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 14,200$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.65 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 8,178$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 55c | 7,646$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.43 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 56c | 6,944$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.27 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 56c | 5,488$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.62 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 45c | 2,767$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.79 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 62c | 1,549$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.8 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 44c | 1,277$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.12 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Yes | 44c | 996.52$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…5047backed Yes | 46c | 870.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.09 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 831.87$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.85 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 44c | 824$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.44 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 619.54$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.9 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 564.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 48c | 456.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 44c | 387.62$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 64c | 373.67$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 43c | 324$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 300.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 54c | 258.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 242.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…16aabacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 56c | 203$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 34c | 192.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 43c | 176.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 69c | 175$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff1…ccb1backed Yes | 73c | 128.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 108.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 47c | 101.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 55c | 91.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 55c | 83.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 54c | 78.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 44c | 72.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1247backed No | 61c | 64.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 58c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 44c | 58.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 31c | 55.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…5596backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…8d9dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…ff57backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…38debacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…f873backed Yes | 46c | 36.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 42c | 32.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 64c | 25.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco to win the second half?this page
- Canada to win the second half?No won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.