Tennis · resolved market
Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed3ae21a3ffcdbab298677212283c5ac19a4e98c9c50578ae7f39ac13479a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 26,444$14,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,772.57 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 44c | 16,800$7,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,408 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 5,515$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.13 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 3,875$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.78 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 3,680$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.98 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.97 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 2,076$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.38 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Over | 57c | 1,088$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 999.99$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 738.25$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.42 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 46c | 644$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 585.64$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.96 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 43c | 519.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.02 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 57c | 301.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Under | 46c | 285$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 45c | 264.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 57c | 257.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 43c | 239.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 54c | 225.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 43c | 218$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Under | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 49c | 205.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Under | 44c | 202$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…e19abacked Over | 59c | 194.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 65c | 173.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 44c | 140.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 56c | 133$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 44c | 128.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 57c | 111.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 57c | 104.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…7912backed Over | 59c | 100.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Under | 44c | 83.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 43c | 61.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Over | 53c | 54.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 42c | 50.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…77cfbacked Over | 56c | 44.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Under | 44c | 44.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…9283backed Over | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 46c | 33.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…2663backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 51c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d7cdbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…fdc8backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 56c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 3 Winner: Minaur vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)Cobolli won
- Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.