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MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c37,704$17,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,455.0711,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over55c36,111$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0007843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed Over52c33,300$17,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,315.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over54c10,140$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.630242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over56c8,949$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c8,376$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.084,52448.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L-42.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c8,280$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,314.238,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.9944749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under48c5,621$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.7214924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c4,792$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.61,87552.1%976 W · 899 L+52.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c3,381$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.934,10757.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L+65.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c3,339$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.067,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under57c3,249$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3834,42845.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L+87.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under48c3,177$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.081,14142.7%487 W · 654 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c2,966$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.521,59348.6%774 W · 819 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Over53c2,818$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,761$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.9312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c2,690$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.911,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over55c2,160$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18816947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Under45c1,439$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.567642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over52c1,406$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.482,06439.2%810 W · 1,254 L-29.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3352045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c1,238$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.122,31951.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L+26.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under47c1,232$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1258852.9%311 W · 277 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c1,118$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.842,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,91144.4%848 W · 1,063 L-29.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56016948.5%82 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under48c943$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3617659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Over55c899.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9910344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c862.19$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.836,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3320456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c780$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4291,67149.1%820 W · 851 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under33c652.39$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.190446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under43c611.5$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.921,03958.3%606 W · 433 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over40c567.65$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0612640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c556.91$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.575,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under48c490$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.888350.4%445 W · 438 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under57c465.79$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.293,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+147.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under44c446$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7646045.7%210 W · 250 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under45c427$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.851,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under6c400$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37870737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1613255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under57c388.16$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.911,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c363$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.281,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under45c361.16$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.642,59361.5%1,595 W · 998 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over53c317.55$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.337052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under72c316.96$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.221,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under45c307.74$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.574,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under45c301.51$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.91,89449.3%934 W · 960 L+24.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under61c248$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941,96041.4%812 W · 1,148 L-25.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under48c243.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5231954.2%173 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over55c240.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.37825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under48c239.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5957753.2%307 W · 270 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Over62c239.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.491816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-56.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under42c221.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3722448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c220.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.958,45147.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L+81.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under48c204$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0813545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over52c196.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over56c195.61$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5418154.7%99 W · 82 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035254.5%192 W · 160 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under44c179.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7839948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Under40c176.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.44250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under48c172$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.445843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under44c169.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8865949.2%324 W · 335 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over62c161.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under48c159.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9712855.5%71 W · 57 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2520156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over52c147.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7990453.5%484 W · 420 L+24.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under59c144.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6415848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Over55c144$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.211956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under48c139.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7726751.7%138 W · 129 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029451%150 W · 144 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Over78c127.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.835668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c123.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.342,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c123.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.691,29256.8%734 W · 558 L+31.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under46c113.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.362,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over55c106.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be0…ca40backed Under48c106.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.328775.9%66 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over59c100.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2245958.4%268 W · 191 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5455347%260 W · 293 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Under47c99.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537755.8%43 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under48c95.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.541,22150%610 W · 611 L+5.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507846.2%36 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under48c94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.889557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505961%36 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.052,42349.9%1,208 W · 1,215 L+20.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.534443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under45c89.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7718347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under46c89.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0152852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under45c89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9568846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Under62c88.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.266564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153f…0b99backed Over53c86.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under50c84.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1424843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…e9d9backed Over55c80.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.