MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b20d46ff222ed9ebeb8e79af2a48a2135a59c0b266852a0aa00f7c5d05bae00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb107…3046backed Over | 48c | 104,780$50,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,540.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 51,712$26,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,821.61 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 22,711$11,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,020.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 8,891$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 6,245$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 4,555$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 4,245$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Over | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…d32cbacked Under | 35c | 2,900$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 2,879$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Under | 43c | 2,621$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 1,333$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.48 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,306$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 893.77$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 29c | 730.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 46c | 643.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 61c | 628.21$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 604.18$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 378.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 54c | 302.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 75c | 279$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 264$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 65c | 261$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 52c | 221.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 45c | 191.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 59c | 169.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 146.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 52c | 144.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Over | 74c | 134.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 122.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 119.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 60c | 105.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 92.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 75.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 75.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 65.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 55c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 56c | 52.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 65c | 48.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 47.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Over | 46c | 44.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…82dfbacked Over | 45c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…c217backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.