Movies · resolved market
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf031f22589bfbc503946112c3d4ee50507bdc9dbfc6a1a6fc5130875ca3baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc8…7927backed No | 17c | 36,363$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 12c | 31,280$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.76 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked No | 16c | 20,797$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 13,011$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.87 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 13c | 9,644$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.45 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 77c | 9,603$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…06ffbacked No | 11c | 8,900$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 11c | 7,272$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 16c | 6,742$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.73 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 19c | 6,000$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 11c | 5,649$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 15c | 4,175$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.74 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 4,158$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.85 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 9c | 4,098$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed No | 2c | 2,868$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 80c | 2,714$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.97 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 14c | 2,654$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…a90ebacked No | 12c | 2,079$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 10c | 2,051$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 75c | 2,006$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.33 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 10c | 1,915$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed No | 15c | 1,530$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,508$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 17c | 1,501$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 4c | 1,434$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked No | 20c | 1,394$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed No | 9c | 1,300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 9c | 1,202$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 20c | 1,197$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed No | 12c | 1,181$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…79a2backed No | 3c | 1,130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed No | 11c | 1,048$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 1,019$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 12c | 981$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 18c | 912.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 11c | 890.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked No | 18c | 871.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 30c | 865.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 17c | 743.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 7c | 735.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 22c | 714.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 76c | 699.99$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 13c | 670.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 642.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 622.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 30c | 599.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 23c | 582$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 13c | 526.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb656…42e6backed No | 4c | 524.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 514.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 12c | 490.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 11c | 484.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed No | 8c | 459.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 13c | 444.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed No | 37c | 409.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked No | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed No | 12c | 396.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 16c | 379.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 18c | 370.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 331.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 10c | 322$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 14c | 284.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…4b29backed No | 14c | 275$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed No | 9c | 257.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 19c | 257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 241.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 28c | 221.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 217$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…1b1fbacked No | 16c | 208.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked No | 14c | 208$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 32c | 206.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 14c | 203.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked No | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e223backed No | 18c | 170.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 16c | 164.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 14c | 161$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 22c | 159.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 58c | 158.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 17c | 145$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked Yes | 69c | 125.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed No | 15c | 123.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…56a6backed No | 16c | 122.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…16f6backed No | 13c | 110.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked No | 12c | 109.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…c8efbacked No | 14c | 104.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 19c | 103.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367e…b15ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 16c | 97.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…72ecbacked No | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…8a0fbacked No | 35c | 88.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 22c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 28c | 78.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 27c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?this page
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?No won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?No won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?No won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.