Tennis · resolved market
Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36fac65eccec94d4d37c751298e131ff443979e65c0de64fe5d0702c1ac0b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 45,261$23,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,864.72 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 29,811$14,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,408.8 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 46c | 24,992$11,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,433.25 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…dacdbacked Over | 58c | 8,620$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 5,588$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.65 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 2,892$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.16 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 999.96$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.04 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 49c | 863.25$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 49c | 767.54$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.08 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Over | 51c | 734.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 597.88$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 53c | 501.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.56 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 48c | 339.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 299.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 49c | 245.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 49c | 204.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 203.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 711 | 39.1%278 W · 433 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 53c | 188.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…7005backed Over | 55c | 180.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 50c | 169.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +36.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 46c | 164.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 52c | 157.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 50c | 153.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 49c | 150.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Under | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 48c | 129.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 440 | 42.3%186 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…a36dbacked Under | 47c | 126.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 124.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 116.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 48c | 94.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 47c | 94.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 53c | 94.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 49c | 75.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 52c | 69.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 61.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 52c | 57.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 51c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Under | 52c | 51.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…535dbacked Over | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 45c | 28.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 54c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Under | 49c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs FokinaFokina won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs FokinaAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 3 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs FokinaAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)Fokina won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Fokina (+2.5)Fokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaFelix Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.