Tennis · resolved market
Khachanov vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9710191eef09e331b84c6ed8a7ed24c23639db4856232ec2f3a2fae3629440e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 24,284$13,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,186.67 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 13,167$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,056.59 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 3,165$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.4 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 44c | 1,980$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 627.52$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 55c | 504.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 55c | 275.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 233.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 53c | 232.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.58 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 222.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 48c | 212.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 44c | 182.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 55c | 182.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 69c | 173.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 54c | 127.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 45c | 79.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 48c | 78.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 46c | 77.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Over | 55c | 72.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 47c | 71.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 61.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 52c | 59.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 46c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 38.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…52aebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 55c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Khachanov vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Karen Khachanov vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Karen Khachanov vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Khachanov vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs CobolliKhachanov won
- Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set 3 Winner: Khachanov vs CobolliKhachanov won
- Set 4 Winner: Khachanov vs CobolliCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)Cobolli won
- Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio CobolliFlavio Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.