TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs Cobolli

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cobolliof Khachanov, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,031 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Khachanov26c3,859$1,021 inLost-$1,021.34,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Cobolli79c3,585$2,832 inWon+$753.323167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cobolli25c776.69$194 inWon+$582.522,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Khachanov64c700$450 inLost-$45020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Cobolli35c462.86$162 inWon+$300.865633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Cobolli35c400$140 inWon+$2601,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd325…a4c4backed Khachanov75c400$300 inLost-$3005160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Khachanov69c284.06$196 inLost-$19663252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0495…e6fcbacked Khachanov75c200$150 inLost-$1502142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Khachanov67c196.02$131 inLost-$13129940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Khachanov75c166.69$125 inLost-$125.022,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli38c148.33$56 inWon+$92.331,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Cobolli40c119.88$48 inWon+$71.8810540%42 W · 63 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Khachanov57c116.28$66 inLost-$66.285,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Cobolli43c116.28$50 inWon+$66.282,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d70…8c66backed Cobolli35c105$37 inWon+$68.252161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Cobolli42c93.5$39 inWon+$54.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Khachanov22c79.32$17 inLost-$17.2974547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Cobolli35c78$27 inWon+$50.765346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd1…ed4bbacked Cobolli79c36.14$29 inWon+$7.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3b…5af6backed Cobolli78c36.14$28 inWon+$7.952050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Cobolli79c30.12$24 inWon+$6.332832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed Cobolli78c24.39$19 inWon+$5.262853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Khachanov62c21.65$13 inLost-$13.46,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.