MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50b0f936bcd3538bfa9791e8bfb26a231c298b1df68eff57b8b9620dd60fb15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 45c | 222,222$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,221.93 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 55c | 118,182$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 60c | 114,733$69,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,291.4 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 84,531$46,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,491.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 68,411$27,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,225.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 18,794$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,031.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 17,690$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Under | 54c | 13,129$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.47 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 12,279$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,701.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,480 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 55c | 6,171$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.26 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 5,432$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.32 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 4,300$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,968$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Under | 55c | 3,764$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 55c | 3,118$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.79 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 2,600$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 55c | 1,972$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,672$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…d4f1backed Under | 4c | 1,292$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.11 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.05 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 46c | 888$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 34c | 869.28$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.12 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Over | 39c | 675.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 659.94$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.37 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 648.38$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 55c | 619.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 585.8$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 31c | 542.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 24c | 492.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…da0bbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 14c | 417.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 385.83$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 40c | 358.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 341$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 8c | 330.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 55c | 322.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 43c | 270$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 223.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 18c | 217.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Over | 46c | 212.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Under | 73c | 169.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 164.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 55c | 163.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 156.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Over | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…fd7ebacked Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…c9c7backed Under | 69c | 133.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 133.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed Under | 62c | 124.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 46c | 117.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 40c | 115.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under | 55c | 113.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bfabbacked Over | 37c | 111$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 46c | 106.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 56c | 102.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 101.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 99.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 55c | 91.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 54c | 87.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Over | 18c | 87.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 38c | 77.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 55c | 75.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 27c | 72.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…40b4backed Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 55c | 69.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 57c | 64.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Under | 55c | 61.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Over | 38c | 59.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 36c | 59.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Over | 40c | 59.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 55c | 56.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Under | 55c | 53.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.