MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89fc3e3aa1e8fa7d53615494543dc239ef749a6249fc576dcb1b309e19b6e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 38c | 11,231$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 7,776$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 4,574$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,115$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.55 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed New York Yankees | 28c | 1,553$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 893.55$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 830.69$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 805.56$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.03 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 29c | 419.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 353.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 299$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 268$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…f799backed New York Yankees | 15c | 264.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 238$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 152.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 142.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 135.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 35c | 134.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 37c | 131.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed New York Yankees | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 107.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 97.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 91.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked New York Yankees | 30c | 85.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 28c | 84.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 34c | 84.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees | 38c | 74.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 71.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 68.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked New York Yankees | 23c | 67.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 33c | 61.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 18c | 60.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 35c | 57.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 52.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 25c | 51.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…1303backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 44.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 35.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…cf58backed New York Yankees | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked New York Yankees | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 30.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 22.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 21.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.