Fifa International · resolved market
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb934f70138a5a7e3e59024b2e1a1cd6da7e5c8c18e64a12851bf39955bd13b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,227,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,089,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,227,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 1c | 1,137,300$13,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123,790.56 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked No | 0c | 181,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…24d1backed Yes | 9c | 80,675$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,455.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 27cpaid | +282%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 41,196$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,396.2 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed Yes | 3c | 16,756$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,283.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…6cdabacked No | 5c | 16,749$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +254.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 14,867$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,629.25 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…9fd1backed Yes | 7c | 14,130$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,190.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,402.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 4c | 13,933$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,376.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,361.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +883%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 2c | 13,095$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.38 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 31c | 12,299$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,439.43 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 2c | 11,546$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,266.09 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…f1a7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b052backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 159 | 30.2%48 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…1cb4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Yes | 17c | 9,097$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,551.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,833$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,694.72 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…bbe7backed Yes | 5c | 8,025$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2995backed Yes | 6c | 7,567$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,148.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +351.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…4c66backed Yes | 1c | 6,116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +394.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 5,916$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 18c | 5,490$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.23 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 5,100$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.7 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.96 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 6c | 4,994$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.95 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a55…ffaabacked Yes | 5c | 4,798$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,521$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 4,296$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.81 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 4,225$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,200$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.33 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 4,045$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.42 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…82afbacked Yes | 5c | 3,960$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.71 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…b775backed Yes | 4c | 3,762$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +401.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,750$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.22 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 1c | 3,554$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 4c | 3,554$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.26 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 5c | 3,445$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.56 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 6c | 3,403$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.63 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 2c | 3,380$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.28 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,309$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.91 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,177$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.6 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 79c | 3,120$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 2c | 3,113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.14 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 3,097$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.76 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.98 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Yes | 7c | 2,743$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 4c | 2,713$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.44 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 74c | 2,660$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.22 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 2,653$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.88 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 2,605$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.65 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…aa7cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,521$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +299.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Yes | 1c | 2,467$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.12 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +380.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 17c | 2,439$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.52 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 2,394$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.67 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…793bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,362$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 2,347$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.65 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,279$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.08 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 5c | 2,250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.43 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 2c | 2,181$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.16 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 1c | 2,104$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.07 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.89 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e2…8fb6backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…5f4abacked Yes | 6c | 1,863$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +494.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,814$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,149.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 6c | 1,771$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.53 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 1,728$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.02 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,704$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…091bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,634$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,627$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.87 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,525$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.33 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 11c | 1,470$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.66 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 5c | 1,442$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 9cpaid | +820.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 28c | 1,435$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae9…b1efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,431$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +617.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 7c | 1,430$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.06 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,421$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.77 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa857…08b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,379$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +568.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 1,336$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…57d4backed Yes | 6c | 1,328$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,320$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.59 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…4325backed Yes | 19c | 1,303$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 1,290$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.98 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 27c | 1,276$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.96 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 6c | 1,262$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,226$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.58 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,165$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.63 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…d2d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,160$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.23 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 4c | 1,137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,119$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,045$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.02 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.99 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 4c | 999.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.98 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…6367backed Yes | 3c | 965.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,118.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 13c | 951.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.54 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed Yes | 3c | 951.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.24 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Gavi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Rayan Cherki win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.