TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
MH Hapoel Be'er Shevaof Sabah FK, MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,314 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sabah FK10c1,780$184 inLost-$183.742,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Sabah FK25c999.96$250 inLost-$249.995729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva78c937.54$728 inWon+$209.9296837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Sabah FK19c390$75 inLost-$7560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Sabah FK25c311.33$79 inLost-$79.1845452%236 W · 218 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva75c266.67$200 inWon+$66.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Sabah FK26c240$62 inLost-$62.410337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva74c135$100 inWon+$35.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sabah FK16c124.79$19 inLost-$19.3549840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Sabah FK26c74.98$19 inLost-$19.58048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Sabah FK26c60$15 inLost-$15.339442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Sabah FK27c46$12 inLost-$12.425034%17 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva73c44.89$33 inWon+$12.1229746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva73c42.78$31 inWon+$11.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Sabah FK28c39.31$11 inLost-$11.014531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva72c35.04$25 inWon+$9.813844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva72c19.68$14 inWon+$5.5167649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.