TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,271 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c846.7$65 inLost-$64.971,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over23c400$92 inLost-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over15c318$46 inLost-$46.244647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over12c253.7$30 inLost-$30.4429949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over15c248.58$37 inLost-$37.162147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c209.59$30 inLost-$29.8523031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over12c177.11$21 inLost-$21.2536142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c168.87$11 inLost-$10.6591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$107561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over12c99.85$11 inLost-$11.5238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee41…2e5cbacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.