TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$959,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$969,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $959,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Under53c420,000$222,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197,399.8267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under55c357,764$198,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,656.0420354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over46c266,398$122,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,702.6940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c178,506$81,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,846.681,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c93,486$43,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,938.5739047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…d9fabacked Over0c74,898$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c57,829$25,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,831.9351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c30,019$13,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,563.612,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c27,467$12,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,41959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over45c20,638$9,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,287.1136748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c17,000$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.9426058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over47c16,880$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,912.3918641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over45c12,780$5,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,75151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Over49c11,907$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,776.419752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over47c11,277$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3006147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over47c9,398$4,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,417.1210146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under53c8,888$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.367949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under51c6,441$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.11,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over44c5,743$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.392,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over47c5,046$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.7438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c4,595$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.472,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over45c4,550$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.493345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over46c3,740$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.44450%22 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c3,500$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc61…b126backed Over48c3,496$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over49c3,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.9362346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under52c2,692$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.315949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c2,222$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.3491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c2,000$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.7791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c1,577$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,563$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.191,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under51c1,499$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.436256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,176$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.731,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over48c1,043$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6342847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c961.53$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.282,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c807.67$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.152,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c795$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.9183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.534752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…8e0fbacked Over45c686.67$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30980%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c666$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over48c600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28611250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Over47c554$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3813147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.713969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under54c491.56$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7527652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over45c470.18$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.583551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c431.32$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9910846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.65350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Over47c335.47$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.676857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13827049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14322352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over46c292.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13629448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over46c273.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3142948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c251.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over55c236.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13038551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under54c231.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0314152.5%74 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over45c224.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.867635.5%27 W · 49 L-12.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c221.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2914353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under51c198.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0217553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf609…6c99backed Under50c179$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0d…e7d0backed Over49c178.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5734040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…148bbacked Over49c177.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e2…60dcbacked Under51c177$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e3…8287backed Under51c177$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9b…7c0bbacked Under51c175$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1205…bc4ebacked Over49c174.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…4412backed Over50c173.16$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ff…f252backed Over49c173.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158e…b325backed Under51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc879…a4cebacked Over49c170.7$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…5d53backed Over47c168.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…0f69backed Over49c167.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec02…5b09backed Under51c166$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae3…1cd5backed Under51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437e…392dbacked Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…b5a7backed Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9521…99e5backed Over49c159.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dc…c0aebacked Over49c156.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fb…58f7backed Under51c154$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa391…a592backed Over49c152.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…6ba7backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747664.5%49 W · 27 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0166…85a1backed Over49c148.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d7…9d69backed Under51c148$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76a…b639backed Under51c148$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c5…7c94backed Over49c146.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1a…aa37backed Over49c145.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b2…23cebacked Over49c145.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bda…fdd6backed Under51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d9…fbb2backed Over49c140.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.