NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206550ae58b22cf1d6da7e06bfb96e0d99a55b306e589c6e9681c7979dd683b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 23c | 402.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…9c4dbacked Over | 29c | 402$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…d593backed Over | 29c | 399$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…211ebacked Over | 29c | 367$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…f544backed Over | 29c | 352$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…2dc1backed Under | 71c | 273$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a9…1e70backed Under | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…9695backed Under | 71c | 267$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…7acbbacked Under | 71c | 238$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…6cb9backed Under | 71c | 232$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…78cabacked Under | 71c | 214$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…b50abacked Under | 71c | 207$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…dfc2backed Under | 71c | 166$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…de71backed Under | 71c | 152$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…d149backed Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…6b2fbacked Over | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Under | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…fe8cbacked Over | 29c | 124$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Over | 27c | 100.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…ca50backed Over | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 28c | 68.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 78c | 29.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 77c | 22.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 65c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…1bf0backed Under | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.