TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Flames (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,652 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Flames31c235,449$73,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,625.4819848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Panthers69c144,664$99,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,818.4440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers68c44,118$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers68c38,884$26,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,441.391,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers69c10,170$7,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.3251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Flames31c8,065$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.5219150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Panthers69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4508650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Flames30c3,300$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31051452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Flames31c3,189$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.4114650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers70c3,026$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.521,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb705…8b05backed Panthers71c2,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Panthers69c1,864$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.131,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…1dc4backed Panthers71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Flames29c1,487$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.6526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…e5d9backed Panthers71c1,440$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Panthers68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7283149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Flames30c894.39$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9413336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c22…17b0backed Panthers71c840$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Panthers73c818$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.783357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers58c764.61$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers69c681.19$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.371,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Flames69c638$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Panthers70c613$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.13161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Panthers69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34527049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Flames68c482.72$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.785969.5%41 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers68c457.81$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Panthers73c411.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Panthers73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Panthers69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2767745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames30c399.94$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9691653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Flames29c362.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023c…c195backed Flames30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Flames31c331.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.011,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Flames31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.587454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Panthers71c257.15$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5815245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Panthers70c255.24$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.672339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Panthers68c250$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Flames34c232.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2248157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Panthers70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b15…2a05backed Flames30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers62c179.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.082,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Flames32c173.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.944447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Panthers70c166$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.25549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Flames31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2913449.3%66 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers48c159$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.331,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Panthers71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers72c137.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.871,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panthers71c136.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.131,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Flames31c114.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.889655.2%53 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Panthers30c111.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9665721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Panthers33c110.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7137857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Panthers67c106.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1632650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Panthers71c101$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.611181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers68c95.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.662,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Panthers71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Panthers33c79.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.351,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Panthers70c78.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3333154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Flames30c73.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers55c70.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.82,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Panthers71c68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.282737%10 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Flames29c68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2811855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Panthers71c67.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Flames30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6754049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Panthers71c66.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Panthers73c66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.933540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Panthers24c65.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.864833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Panthers70c65.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8932155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Flames31c59.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2911450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Flames33c59.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9428550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Panthers60c57.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6324749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Flames32c57.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.812335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Flames30c56.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5347024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Flames32c50.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.357749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Flames67c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.552451%267 W · 257 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Flames32c44.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.589558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x730d…98c0backed Flames32c41.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d26…6f74backed Panthers69c39.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.392650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Flames31c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.848350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Flames30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.210359.2%61 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Panthers70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.518949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Panthers70c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Panthers69c34.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0124352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Panthers68c29.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1429052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…75fabacked Panthers71c27.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Panthers69c25.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6429053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Panthers73c25.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Panthers49c21.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc52e…0a1cbacked Panthers71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158759.8%52 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Panthers71c20.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6925354.2%137 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1912…def8backed Flames68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Panthers71c19.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.811952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Panthers72c17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2412050.8%61 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Panthers69c15.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.