NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f60df30f4df5e65135c9216d08d39b262cd884e113c253b3bcd678734fec73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 59c | 81,372$47,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,376.31 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 41c | 77,560$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,799.53 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 45c | 4,888$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.01 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…b4a7backed Over | 42c | 3,453$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 2,960$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 59c | 1,150$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 42c | 615.73$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 57c | 584.93$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 552.58$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 411.29$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 41c | 346.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 289.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 206.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 42c | 176$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 43c | 147.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 135.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 54c | 132.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked Over | 43c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 42c | 118.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 118.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Over | 47c | 105.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Under | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Over | 37c | 56.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…fadfbacked Under | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 42c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 41c | 38.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. FlamesFlames won
- Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Flames won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.