TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c437,400$216,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,418.220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c200,000$102,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c100,039$50,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,919.3138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under50c100,000$50,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,9001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over49c31,389$15,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,473.745050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under50c20,000$10,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,98022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under51c12,500$6,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,187.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c11,219$5,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.985046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c9,980$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.0340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c9,874$4,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,771.8956152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Under52c9,435$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.556657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c4,877$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,424.3736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under50c4,768$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.357946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c4,755$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.5243456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c4,000$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97239752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.177949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c3,108$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.311,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c3,000$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48527243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under50c2,500$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.517057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c2,425$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under52c2,222$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.8991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,060$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01627048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,670$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.211,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under51c1,479$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.7316843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over49c1,008$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.862763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49091653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under51c984.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.257745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under51c982.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.324755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under51c877$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.4826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c858.67$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.2935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Over48c840.34$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over50c618.28$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.112055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c604.83$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3921849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c600$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c597.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under52c485.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9712058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c399.41$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3121754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under51c391.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.397671.1%54 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c363.93$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over47c346.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7848552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under51c314.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7517750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over49c299.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1811250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c299.95$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5122352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under51c280$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7618344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c203.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8433154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under51c203.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3432155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over49c202.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under73c187$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.622,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Under51c182.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.423847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c178.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2228549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc83…c024backed Over50c176.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Over50c173.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under51c167$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6617458%101 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8825337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under51c131.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1429053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under51c130.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.188644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under51c121.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5516250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under52c120.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5311955.5%66 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under51c119.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4229052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under51c117.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.624749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028753.3%153 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under52c101.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.328651.2%44 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Under51c101.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1711248.2%54 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under51c101.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1211450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.436852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under51c99.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4926136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under51c99.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8824352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under51c98.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under52c97.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9949053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under52c96.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.928550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under50c95.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under52c88.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.613953.8%21 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Under51c84.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.791154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6486049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3319651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Over51c81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.652864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94a3…fb0dbacked Over49c74.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4412844.5%57 W · 71 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4414037.9%53 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc52e…0a1cbacked Under51c69.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.088759.8%52 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3342…7b8bbacked Over49c60.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eca…8602backed Under51c58.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under52c50.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.392737%10 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Over49c50.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c50.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6366552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7559852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812850%64 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c46.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4960449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…ab1ebacked Under51c42.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under57c42.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2127150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under52c39.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.077950.6%40 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Under51c39.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.297647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under52c38.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.613554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under52c32.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.59558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.826956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.134949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.