NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5789234eecbc3863669b308fd7a23eb1a07fed2028917b1d38b4012f97878624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 3,650$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.31 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 58c | 1,806$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.36 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 1,699$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 59c | 1,599$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.61 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 1,195$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.06 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 903.61$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.72 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 59c | 422$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 61c | 300.15$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 258$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 39c | 256.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 59c | 230.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 59c | 167.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…f5debacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 166$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 112.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Over | 59c | 67.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 59c | 62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Over | 61c | 48.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 59c | 38.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 59c | 38.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 59c | 37.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 42c | 33.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Over | 59c | 31.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 25.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. WildBlues won
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.