NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0bb7a984cb363127236421979394cc5020887a444bcd1c937d29386457e1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Wild, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Wild | 47c | 5,004$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blues | 54c | 778$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…68c5backed Wild | 48c | 640$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 53c | 586.34$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wild | 48c | 474.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 60c | 401.11$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 47c | 356$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Blues | 55c | 260.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Wild | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blues | 52c | 224.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…b79bbacked Blues | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2850…088fbacked Blues | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Blues | 55c | 218.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Blues | 74c | 202.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…dddebacked Blues | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blues | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blues | 73c | 171.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 30c | 160.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wild | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Wild | 40c | 101.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Wild | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wild | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Blues | 59c | 77.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Wild | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 39c | 75.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Wild | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wild | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wild | 23c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blues | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Wild | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blues | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Wild | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Wild | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wild | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Blues | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blues | 52c | 35.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Blues | 65c | 32.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Wild | 47c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wild | 33c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Wild | 43c | 27.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Wild | 45c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blues | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Blues | 55c | 21.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. WildBlues won
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.