NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x940a47dfd31680e5012bf70365c81b451b97b83cdb3953a7e25bd8062f662778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Golden Knights, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights | 37c | 303,393$111,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,889.61 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 63c | 150,000$94,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,500 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 37c | 110,000$40,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,700 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Penguins | 63c | 81,314$51,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,002.28 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 63c | 70,000$44,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,900 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Penguins | 63c | 58,296$36,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,569.36 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Golden Knights | 37c | 45,238$16,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,737.4 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Penguins | 63c | 32,084$20,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,870.6 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Penguins | 64c | 14,318$9,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.54 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 63c | 13,949$8,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.13 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.5 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Penguins | 64c | 4,014$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.04 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Penguins | 63c | 3,750$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Penguins | 64c | 1,182$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Penguins | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Penguins | 64c | 738.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 63c | 731.12$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 24c | 674.62$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Penguins | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Golden Knights | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Penguins | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadb1…fa88backed Penguins | 64c | 414.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Penguins | 67c | 406.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Penguins | 64c | 385.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Penguins | 64c | 378.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.26 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Penguins | 65c | 334.23$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Penguins | 64c | 304.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…5481backed Penguins | 64c | 296.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Penguins | 64c | 268.82$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Penguins | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd0…9132backed Golden Knights | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…b711backed Golden Knights | 23c | 234.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Penguins | 63c | 224.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Penguins | 63c | 217.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 36c | 211.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Golden Knights | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Penguins | 64c | 184.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Penguins | 66c | 174.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Penguins | 65c | 169.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Penguins | 66c | 168.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Penguins | 64c | 164.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Penguins | 65c | 153.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Penguins | 64c | 152.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Penguins | 65c | 151.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 243 | 52.3%127 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Penguins | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Penguins | 64c | 147.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Penguins | 64c | 146$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Penguins | 64c | 138.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Golden Knights | 37c | 138.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf06…b605backed Golden Knights | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Penguins | 64c | 134.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 64c | 133$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Penguins | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Penguins | 75c | 123$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Golden Knights | 37c | 104.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Penguins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Penguins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked Penguins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Penguins | 64c | 96.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Golden Knights | 21c | 89.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Penguins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 285 | 50.2%143 W · 142 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Penguins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Penguins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Penguins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Penguins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Penguins | 64c | 77.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Penguins | 64c | 76.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Penguins | 64c | 75.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Penguins | 64c | 73.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Golden Knights | 34c | 68.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…57efbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Penguins | 64c | 64.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Golden Knights | 37c | 63.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Penguins | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Penguins | 69c | 62.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Penguins | 64c | 61.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden Knights | 20c | 56.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Penguins | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Penguins | 64c | 51.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Penguins | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed Penguins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Penguins | 80c | 41.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Penguins | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…af0bbacked Penguins | 64c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…2e8dbacked Penguins | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…9e2bbacked Penguins | 64c | 36.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Penguins | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Penguins | 64c | 34.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Penguins | 64c | 33.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Penguins | 64c | 33.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…ffe0backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Penguins | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.