TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,531 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c289,422$153,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,249.7787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c136,677$64,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,238.3366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c69,170$32,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,524.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c58,601$27,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,542.2826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over53c14,942$7,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under48c14,717$7,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,063.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,76043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c6,825$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.251,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over52c6,099$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,927.519352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over56c5,924$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.7526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over50c5,800$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under48c5,591$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.3417249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c4,671$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebf…8e5abacked Over51c4,606$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c4,368$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbb…fa9dbacked Over51c4,239$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over50c4,219$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.639952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…a53dbacked Over51c3,996$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b2…551ebacked Over51c3,546$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c3,534$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76718842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96da…62dcbacked Over51c3,165$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c3,123$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aef…0c13backed Over51c3,104$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcc…6625backed Over51c2,987$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46d…a464backed Over51c2,816$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c2,739$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c2,521$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.272,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…a306backed Under49c2,415$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b03…fed1backed Under49c2,263$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc36…aeb1backed Under49c2,239$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6305…e06dbacked Under49c2,238$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c2,226$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0461,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…51f2backed Under49c2,019$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…6ef9backed Under49c2,012$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…78f7backed Under49c2,011$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under50c1,935$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.5121142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab0a…dc96backed Under49c1,924$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e54…d772backed Over51c1,822$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c1,810$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.2187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c1,789$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.42,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f54…e362backed Under49c1,733$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22d…698cbacked Under49c1,732$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x235f…b92bbacked Under49c1,727$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c1,524$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75017250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a77…0d7abacked Under49c1,405$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdac…5e3bbacked Under49c1,375$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,362$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf195…d4e6backed Under49c1,339$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb4…8366backed Over51c1,322$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca3…a81fbacked Under49c1,265$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8020…9141backed Under49c1,235$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6757…2bf0backed Under49c1,228$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c1,158$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4982,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…d38bbacked Under49c1,154$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,148$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under46c1,063$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,052$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9924050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Over50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507842.3%33 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Under44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3964443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over50c851$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c842.15$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.751,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd43…e4c1backed Over51c788$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c758.97$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.365,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under39c725.42$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0416139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9c…b339backed Under49c686$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db6…de56backed Under49c655$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2372…81c6backed Over51c631$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c602.4$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.062,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57f…4d74backed Over49c530.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.612871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c488.79$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c456$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.21,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4819…b4d5backed Under49c401$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under51c399.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9915446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c383$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under53c375$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6561740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe93d…6873backed Over51c322$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under48c303.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.476342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under48c293$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…8a64backed Under49c289$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under49c287.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14121550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c286$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c283.39$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.685,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3626956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3614156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under50c211.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9118147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Over49c211.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x176b…3c81backed Over50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a27…2008backed Under51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10233360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.