TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,828 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under53c9,737$5,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,160.6677348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4819…b4d5backed Under54c3,168$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over48c2,536$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.7213946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,506$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0708…a306backed Over46c2,455$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b03…fed1backed Over46c2,332$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under52c2,233$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a77…0d7abacked Over46c2,158$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c2,141$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f54…e362backed Under54c2,041$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,901$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c1,862$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.724,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf195…d4e6backed Under54c1,727$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6757…2bf0backed Under54c1,635$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…a81fbacked Over46c1,622$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c1,576$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over47c1,549$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.0814953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,539$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over47c1,525$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.3666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Under51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,314$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c821.15$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c618.41$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over47c510.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c379$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under53c377.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c363.08$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over52c361.96$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.741,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c347.13$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over47c205.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9320350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Over51c191.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.782850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over48c177.91$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7515446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e3…9e68backed Over45c174$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+182.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c172.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.411,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2372…81c6backed Under54c166$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c144.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46d…a464backed Over46c144$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…a53dbacked Over46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under53c126$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c106.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.542,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebf…8e5abacked Under54c102$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5363353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Under55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9923246.1%107 W · 125 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.116248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1e…4b91backed Under55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over45c77.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked Over51c72.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over48c71.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0657250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c69.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under32c65.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac5…263bbacked Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under53c53.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4221259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c51.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6482…dfbebacked Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Under56c44.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Over47c43.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.843548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…2ecdbacked Under55c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over47c41.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c40.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d1…5874backed Under54c36.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af8…4bffbacked Under55c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6511845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.537549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under48c29.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over48c27.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3918648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c27.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb7…2c57backed Over48c26.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Over44c25.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c25.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.143,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9622336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c24.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over48c23.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4687744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under56c19.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.997650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.