TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$544,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,165 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c256,858$130,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,887.1987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c99,384$48,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,698.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c66,064$32,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,519.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c63,293$31,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,201.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c48,182$24,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,864.4334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under49c40,360$19,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,776.3326253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c39,953$19,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,730.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c33,839$17,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,581.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under45c23,431$10,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,548.9317249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c21,887$11,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,481.3577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c21,371$10,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,478.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c12,836$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,373.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under51c10,000$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c8,972$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c8,752$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.651,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c7,622$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c5,841$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c5,657$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.912,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c4,401$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over49c4,103$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.2324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over48c4,014$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.169952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe39…461ebacked Over47c3,784$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c3,149$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under53c2,085$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8422752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c2,044$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.852,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c1,852$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.6317850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2c…bb26backed Over47c1,832$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.112138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,715$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over48c1,583$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.3334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c1,496$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7331,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over73c1,247$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.413,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over46c1,243$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1711243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c1,095$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.551,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c1,085$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.652,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,031$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.612,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Under49c999.92$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.964443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c942.71$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over50c939.13$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over62c832.31$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c731$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.191,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over23c726.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.792,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34349345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over50c693.92$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.0518052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over51c660$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over48c657.23$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.769352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under50c650$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32517540.6%71 W · 104 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c627.54$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c600.1$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c600$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over50c581.3$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8218648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29726553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over44c541.65$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.421,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c521.12$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.872,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under50c505.1$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.066342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over47c468.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.097153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Under50c408.68$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3414248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over78c397.44$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under53c377.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c373.97$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.242,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9223553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Over45c343.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15321049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over51c299.42$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3523048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under55c293.23$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over50c289.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6815353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over49c280.01$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7222154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under50c271.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9521550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over51c269.21$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6125049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over49c261.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.891,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over52c223.37$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.155356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over47c211.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c204$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.61,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked Under49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c201.4$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c197.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7143544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0819054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabc2…34f3backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c195.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.743052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under50c188.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.347145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1300…b1fabacked Under51c178.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd28…a90fbacked Over47c171$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c160.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c159$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.042,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Under51c157.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under42c157.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over55c156.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.