Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa835f06d1820c022699498e54fc80348123d580944aa0465fbabd04f45c3f988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Florida Gators, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,961 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 5,693$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.78 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Florida Gators | 48c | 3,722$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.56 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators | 48c | 3,610$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.32 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida Gators | 48c | 557.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 486.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 454.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gators | 47c | 410.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 374.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Florida Gators | 47c | 338.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Florida Gators | 47c | 212.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…9787backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 211.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Florida Gators | 49c | 146.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19b…f3fabacked Florida Gators | 45c | 121.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida Gators | 49c | 114.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 104.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 96.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 94.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 77.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Florida Gators | 47c | 61.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Florida Gators | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Florida Gators | 49c | 59.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Florida Gators | 44c | 57.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…18e6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 50.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 36.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kentucky Wildcats | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Gators | 49c | 29.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Florida Gators | 49c | 25.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Florida Gators | 52c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 20.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-11.5)this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.