Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc8fb8cf7b27f82a4d3b88e9dcf26504c886d3434a8a1af6f741e54b727fca2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Kentucky Wildcats, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,956 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 1c | 29,526$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.79 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Kentucky Wildcats | 16c | 11,644$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.08 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 9,959$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.31 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…85febacked Kentucky Wildcats | 10c | 5,059$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 4,143$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.39 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 1c | 2,909$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 2,808$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.78 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 2,114$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 1,980$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 1,327$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…cd66backed Kentucky Wildcats | 1c | 1,109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Kentucky Wildcats | 2c | 1,030$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 1,009$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 13c | 780.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 775.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Kentucky Wildcats | 11c | 747.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Kentucky Wildcats | 11c | 620.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 13c | 604.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 577.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 567.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kentucky Wildcats | 6c | 524.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 8c | 520.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 9c | 504.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kentucky Wildcats | 6c | 504.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 499.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 417.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6d55backed Kentucky Wildcats | 4c | 399.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 365.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…9cffbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 331.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 8c | 324.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 298.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 17c | 298.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 293.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kentucky Wildcats | 17c | 254.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 199.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 14c | 199.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Kentucky Wildcats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gatorsthis page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-11.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.