TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 159.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,436 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Under48c8,343$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.5460949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over52c6,485$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.395341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under48c5,478$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.3923243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over52c3,101$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.6515556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c2,028$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c1,355$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c1,264$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.712,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over52c1,230$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.391,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over51c896.04$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.982,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Over53c763.29$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.541855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb19…50dcbacked Under47c753.44$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over53c748.14$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.511,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd84…6b64backed Over53c659$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over53c594.77$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2316054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ff…72b3backed Under47c589.81$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…83e1backed Over53c580$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c575.92$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87f…9eeabacked Under47c535.29$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…6925backed Under47c535$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fec…f69fbacked Under47c523.4$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd054…ff00backed Over53c512$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f3…3aecbacked Under47c504.56$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c495.63$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7339454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8740…82dabacked Under47c486.72$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…6a4abacked Over53c440$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb1…3e36backed Under47c433.19$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…792bbacked Over53c423$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa950…d92ebacked Under49c407.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…b4f9backed Under47c395.52$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over52c381.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2531448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x493f…d019backed Under47c372.72$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd6…532cbacked Over53c362$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9844…9212backed Under47c357.85$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b8…ec53backed Under47c346.95$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ab…0500backed Over53c339$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…7ce7backed Under47c338.03$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffe…576ebacked Over53c324$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1c…d45ebacked Under47c301.35$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3f…99edbacked Over53c295$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c281$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…452fbacked Under47c279.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15a…554fbacked Over53c276$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52cd…516ebacked Over53c265$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacc…787cbacked Over53c249$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd8…e7a7backed Over53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c217.44$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.511,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x536d…0ba2backed Over53c208$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d73…0874backed Over53c202$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23da…b980backed Over53c201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129c…fe5bbacked Over53c194$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd836…c6b6backed Over53c142$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over56c115.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4421850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over53c112.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4831647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…c8c9backed Under47c108.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0d…4752backed Over53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Over53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562119%4 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-59.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x64ef…5b81backed Over53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c77.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.054,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over53c74.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6510849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc3…82aabacked Over53c62.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Under48c60.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.346347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c49.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.523,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c38.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9158652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Under48c37.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c36.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…20c2backed Over52c35.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c32.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0960954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over57c31.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8611550.4%58 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8df…feb4backed Over52c30.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218c…5b0abacked Over52c28.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fd…9816backed Over52c26.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…ef2dbacked Over52c25.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b6…520abacked Over53c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…c52cbacked Over53c24.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb2…86febacked Over52c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1594…48cebacked Over52c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba7…2d6abacked Over53c22.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under47c22.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7382846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c46…d65abacked Over53c21.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6904…dbb6backed Over53c19.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over52c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3111542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…d108backed Over52c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over52c19.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.