Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x297d90343161edcfc88406daaede6e70f1a197001ab56a1af86b4e5df6341118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Florida Gators, Kentucky Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Florida Gators | 51c | 26,670$13,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,720.17 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 24,196$11,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,434.11 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 47c | 21,597$10,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,361.88 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 10,946$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.52 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Gators | 52c | 7,662$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 7,658$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.01 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Florida Gators | 54c | 4,840$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.13 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gators | 52c | 4,106$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida Gators | 53c | 3,882$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.51 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Florida Gators | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 1,410$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.09 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida Gators | 51c | 1,346$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 1,251$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.37 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Florida Gators | 2c | 1,009$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Gators | 54c | 550.94$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Florida Gators | 52c | 519.51$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Florida Gators | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gators | 67c | 496.14$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 432.36$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 301.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Kentucky Wildcats | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kentucky Wildcats | 29c | 299.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Florida Gators | 52c | 287.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 220.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…e1a5backed Florida Gators | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 196.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 163.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 56c | 151.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Florida Gators | 41c | 148.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 140.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 135.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 121.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 97.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Florida Gators | 79c | 87.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky Wildcats | 45c | 75.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 64.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Florida Gators | 64c | 61.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 47c | 61.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kentucky Wildcats | 42c | 44.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Florida Gators | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Florida Gators | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Florida Gators | 73c | 39.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Florida Gators | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Gators | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Florida Gators | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 29.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 43c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Florida Gators | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Florida Gators | 56c | 25.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Florida Gators | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators | 59c | 19.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Florida Gators | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida GatorsFlorida Gators won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-11.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.