MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c94f3a00f73efa2ab64fbcd7f10066c08ea642d4bd170c619302e41e2efaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Houston Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf665…b45ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 113,464$57,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,763.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 49c | 37,068$18,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,904.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Athletics | 50c | 33,097$16,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,548.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 29,799$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,899.56 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 50c | 29,319$14,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,659.66 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 53c | 23,465$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,924.95 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletics | 51c | 19,638$10,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,573.48 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 50c | 16,541$8,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.55 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Athletics | 50c | 14,957$7,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,478.61 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Houston Astros | 51c | 13,951$7,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,114.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Athletics | 49c | 13,572$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Houston Astros | 51c | 13,322$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.19 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Houston Astros | 51c | 11,865$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Athletics | 65c | 11,597$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.14 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 38c | 5,581$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.12 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Athletics | 51c | 5,237$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.1 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 49c | 5,236$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.24 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Athletics | 50c | 4,753$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 50c | 4,263$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Athletics | 49c | 4,169$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.09 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 49c | 3,955$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Athletics | 50c | 3,368$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.08 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Athletics | 71c | 3,311$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.93 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,126$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.16 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Athletics | 54c | 3,100$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.49 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 1c | 2,960$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,801$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 32c | 2,628$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Athletics | 49c | 2,576$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.18 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,497$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 51c | 2,427$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Houston Astros | 1c | 2,387$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Athletics | 58c | 2,310$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Athletics | 55c | 2,158$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.23 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics | 49c | 2,121$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.29 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 50c | 2,077$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,067$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.65 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Athletics | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.81 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 50c | 1,839$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.37 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,798$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.05 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,789$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.53 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Athletics | 49c | 1,778$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.99 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,778$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Athletics | 55c | 1,646$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.17 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Athletics | 49c | 1,643$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Athletics | 50c | 1,564$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.55 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,555$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.35 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 10c | 1,325$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 74c | 1,285$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Houston Astros | 17c | 1,254$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,145$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.27 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Athletics | 49c | 1,043$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.75 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,027$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.79 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 990.78$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.72 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Athletics | 49c | 984.35$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 49c | 949.96$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.48 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Athletics | 51c | 818.35$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Athletics | 68c | 805.92$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Athletics | 53c | 802.01$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.94 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 50c | 738.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 689.67$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 684.13$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Houston Astros | 21c | 680.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Houston Astros | 6c | 664.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Athletics | 49c | 644.38$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros | 50c | 562.6$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.3 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 510.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Athletics | 50c | 507.78$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Athletics | 49c | 499.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.92 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 483.06$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.53 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Athletics | 61c | 473.51$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Athletics | 49c | 432.57$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Houston Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…8eadbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Houston Astros | 50c | 391.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Houston Astros | 50c | 363.75$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 50c | 356.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Athletics | 51c | 339.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 338.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 334.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 314.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 311.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Athletics | 70c | 304.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Athletics | 50c | 302.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Houston Astros | 50c | 294.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Athletics | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Houston Astros | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Houston Astros | 50c | 290.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Houston Astros | 51c | 284.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 50c | 283$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 11c | 281.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Athletics | 49c | 276.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Athleticsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-9.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.