NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41168e2ed05aff1ef8efa124176540f5fa68dee166779c45e59505141452e059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,643 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 30c | 3,397$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.37 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 70c | 1,115$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.55 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rangers | 70c | 579$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings | 30c | 451.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 69c | 440.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rangers | 70c | 382.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Rangers | 71c | 345.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rangers | 69c | 336.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Kings | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Rangers | 70c | 333$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kings | 31c | 330$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 70c | 304$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Rangers | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Kings | 31c | 282.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…46e2backed Rangers | 71c | 246.4$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 69c | 203.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Kings | 34c | 194.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 66c | 185$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rangers | 70c | 166.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 30c | 146$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Kings | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 61c | 109.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Rangers | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kings | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rangers | 45c | 90.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…a6cabacked Kings | 31c | 80.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…56a4backed Kings | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…95c1backed Kings | 31c | 78.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Rangers | 69c | 74.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rangers | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…5f5abacked Kings | 31c | 68.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Rangers | 71c | 67.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Kings | 69c | 65.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…d90fbacked Rangers | 70c | 36.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba53…d439backed Rangers | 70c | 35.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…3bccbacked Rangers | 70c | 34.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc572…06ecbacked Rangers | 70c | 32.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…d5b8backed Rangers | 70c | 32.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Rangers | 70c | 28.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 43c | 27.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5aedbacked Rangers | 70c | 27.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38df…b45fbacked Rangers | 70c | 27.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Rangers | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…aaefbacked Rangers | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Kings | 78c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…f36abacked Rangers | 68c | 17.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…05b5backed Rangers | 68c | 17.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rangers | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. RangersKings won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.