NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d363f00dacf37e4a96a47156aad5919b3409082fed5dfc9ca2009b6253a0dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x772e…c442backed Under | 58c | 5,240$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 41c | 1,832$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.28 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 1,740$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 59c | 1,570$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.63 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 317.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 56c | 214.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 170.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 57c | 163$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…a8a5backed Over | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…c275backed Over | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 58c | 88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 41c | 78.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…0bbbbacked Under | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 41c | 63.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…01d0backed Under | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 35.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…d39abacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…3aeabacked Under | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 34c | 30.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…94aebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 57c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…005dbacked Under | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 28.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…d0f5backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…ea98backed Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. RangersKings won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.