NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5692085bfbaeea87f98b7b12f3942b8edc3247b6d0f6dd1e0afaca0447513e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,631 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec0…7221backed Over | 58c | 6,731$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 58c | 5,500$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.83 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 4,444$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 43c | 3,752$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.65 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 3,749$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.19 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 3,441$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.16 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 3,086$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.05 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 54c | 2,984$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 58c | 2,525$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 42c | 1,918$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.62 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 1,918$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 1,107$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.14 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 57c | 1,099$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 59c | 880.95$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.57 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 41c | 823.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 55c | 753.26$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 58c | 637.4$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 516$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 43c | 473.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.73 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 15c | 420.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 47c | 283.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Under | 43c | 275.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 217.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 35c | 160.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 75c | 155.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 59c | 143.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 61c | 117.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 59c | 115.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 41c | 108.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 91.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Over | 55c | 86.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Over | 57c | 79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 44c | 67.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 65.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 56c | 58.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 69c | 50.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c088backed Under | 48c | 45.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 58c | 43.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 56c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 41c | 41.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 34.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 31.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 65c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…9e25backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 43c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 65c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 45c | 23.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. DevilsDevils won
- Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.