TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,019 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c143,357$69,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,550.5320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c57,491$29,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,320.3540351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under52c29,077$15,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1206147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6503339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under52c10,003$5,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,201.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c8,153$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.2351550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c7,215$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.331,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c7,194$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.062,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c6,623$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.8436648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under55c5,968$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.9922550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under52c4,152$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.8422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under52c3,824$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under52c3,400$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c3,192$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.331,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under52c3,120$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under52c2,792$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.841,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772e…c442backed Under58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95417247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over42c1,569$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.051,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c1,200$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c1,011$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1912355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under50c925$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.422,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over45c769.4$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.1713049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c578.07$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.821,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c561.34$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.32,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over56c525.07$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9430348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Under52c416.96$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over64c345.09$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5112152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over49c264.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.715151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258850%44 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Under57c188.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.412450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Under55c187.27$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under36c187.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over43c186.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.329146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over49c186.02$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.873551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c133.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under37c130.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.652,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over59c124.2$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1178651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under44c109.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823450%117 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c107.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0718453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c105.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.691,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1711650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over56c103.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.571,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9683…108bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over45c92.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under33c88.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under49c84.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2928340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under53c80.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c76.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.789850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over45c75.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.258837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c71.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under50c65.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6465721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under45c62.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.339145.1%41 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over56c57.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5e5…485abacked Under26c55.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.312025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over55c55.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under46c53.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5551343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Over47c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under36c50.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0634752.4%182 W · 165 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c49.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f36…81b7backed Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over45c47.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.138060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over58c46.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3174054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.856855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under48c44.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6610447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under48c44.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2138447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over64c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121888.9%16 W · 2 L+5.5wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+46.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over46c40.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0935553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8e…2bf4backed Over57c40.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over49c39.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2229448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under55c39.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.786642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c39.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under46c35.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.335352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over49c32.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d2…c802backed Over50c32.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under52c30.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.634443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under47c29.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9514944.3%66 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under51c28.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6612947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over53c28.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3233647.9%161 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6653…acaebacked Over55c26.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Under52c25.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under52c25.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.137749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Over54c24.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.574072.5%29 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.