Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96420d048b36a843a7a80d13f5de074f82baf2ca58a03935933f4bab8506f9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Darderi, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb42e…1196backed Faria | 61c | 2,904$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Darderi | 38c | 2,308$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.97 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Faria | 62c | 1,645$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.16 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Darderi | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Darderi | 40c | 1,013$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.08 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Darderi | 38c | 972.85$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Faria | 62c | 854.58$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Faria | 62c | 631.9$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.93 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Darderi | 39c | 604.23$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Darderi | 40c | 329.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…9145backed Faria | 62c | 322.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Darderi | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Faria | 60c | 178.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Darderi | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Faria | 68c | 129.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Faria | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Darderi | 40c | 98.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Darderi | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Darderi | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Faria | 60c | 41.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Faria | 60c | 41.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Faria | 60c | 41.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…0ed7backed Faria | 60c | 41.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Faria | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Darderi | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ae…2c65backed Faria | 59c | 38.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Faria | 60c | 31.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Darderi | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…1f18backed Faria | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Darderi | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5)this page
- Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi won
- Faria vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Faria vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Faria vs. Darderi: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Jaime Faria vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs DarderiFaria won
- Set 2 Winner: Faria vs DarderiDarderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.