UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dda2d6abdee2cb99c2a96095991d23d3f823ba01325d5d92767a99e9fd7f7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ezra Elliottof Damien Anderson, Ezra Elliott
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Damien Anderson | 55c | 175,000$96,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,249.59 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 93,601$42,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,480.55 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 41,923$18,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,057.75 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ezra Elliott | 51c | 24,245$12,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.07 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Ezra Elliott | 49c | 15,142$7,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,763.97 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Damien Anderson | 48c | 15,000$7,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,264.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 11,301$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.68 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Damien Anderson | 49c | 10,406$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.11 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Damien Anderson | 49c | 5,039$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.76 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Damien Anderson | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Damien Anderson | 52c | 4,824$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.7 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 4,340$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ezra Elliott | 60c | 4,055$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.71 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Damien Anderson | 15c | 3,805$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Ezra Elliott | 44c | 3,646$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.74 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Ezra Elliott | 69c | 2,474$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Damien Anderson | 51c | 2,398$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Ezra Elliott | 49c | 2,342$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Damien Anderson | 39c | 2,332$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.68 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Damien Anderson | 15c | 2,161$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Ezra Elliott | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Damien Anderson | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Damien Anderson | 20c | 1,930$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Ezra Elliott | 59c | 1,854$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 1,851$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…b371backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 1,816$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 1,583$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.83 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ezra Elliott | 46c | 1,521$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.63 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Damien Anderson | 34c | 1,502$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Damien Anderson | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Ezra Elliott | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Ezra Elliott | 48c | 1,446$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.76 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Ezra Elliott | 62c | 1,338$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.69 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Damien Anderson | 46c | 1,277$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.23 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Damien Anderson | 36c | 1,234$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.06 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Damien Anderson | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ezra Elliott | 48c | 1,200$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.36 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Damien Anderson | 30c | 1,104$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…9019backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 1,101$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Damien Anderson | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Ezra Elliott | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.45 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Ezra Elliott | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.37 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Damien Anderson | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Damien Anderson | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Damien Anderson | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Ezra Elliott | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Ezra Elliott | 52c | 986.71$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Damien Anderson | 43c | 956.72$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.27 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 949.31$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.56 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Damien Anderson | 14c | 840$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Damien Anderson | 48c | 825.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Ezra Elliott | 52c | 825$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Damien Anderson | 38c | 804.23$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ezra Elliott | 46c | 777.03$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.77 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Damien Anderson | 55c | 727.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Ezra Elliott | 47c | 717.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Damien Anderson | 48c | 674.74$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Damien Anderson | 48c | 651.56$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Damien Anderson | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Damien Anderson | 42c | 642.81$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Ezra Elliott | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Damien Anderson | 53c | 600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.56 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Ezra Elliott | 49c | 592.27$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.23 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ezra Elliott | 45c | 581.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.22 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Ezra Elliott | 63c | 581$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Ezra Elliott | 54c | 573.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Damien Anderson | 37c | 550$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Ezra Elliott | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Ezra Elliott | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Ezra Elliott | 52c | 493.96$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Ezra Elliott | 76c | 478.05$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Ezra Elliott | 46c | 472.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Ezra Elliott | 67c | 471.69$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Damien Anderson | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Ezra Elliott | 65c | 458.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Damien Anderson | 44c | 450.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ezra Elliott | 73c | 426.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Damien Anderson | 39c | 414$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Damien Anderson | 30c | 412.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Damien Anderson | 47c | 412.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Damien Anderson | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Damien Anderson | 49c | 404.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Damien Anderson | 55c | 400$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Ezra Elliott | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Damien Anderson | 53c | 379.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Damien Anderson | 44c | 368.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Damien Anderson | 24c | 368.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Ezra Elliott | 60c | 338.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Damien Anderson | 31c | 328.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…5691backed Damien Anderson | 17c | 327.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Ezra Elliott | 48c | 325.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Ezra Elliott | 50c | 323.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Damien Anderson | 54c | 320$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Damien Anderson | 36c | 314.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Damien Anderson | 56c | 307.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Damien Anderson | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Damien Anderson | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Damien Anderson | 31c | 291.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Damien Anderson | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Ezra Elliott win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.