WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac71d40853ca2ca0e5943a3c8e565fbb8b86a8b25dcf1871b04a60b9010e8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Seattle Storm, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 9,033$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.75 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 7,224$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 7,041$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 6,709$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.8 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Seattle Storm | 18c | 6,047$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.38 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 5,753$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.16 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 4,569$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.49 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 4,543$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.26 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 3,747$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.19 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 3,635$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.53 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Storm | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 3,279$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 3,039$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 2,856$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.85 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 2,741$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 2,697$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.97 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 2,633$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 2,502$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Storm | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 2,047$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 2,004$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 1,925$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.58 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 1,874$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 1,739$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.52 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 15c | 1,628$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 1,482$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.32 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 1,158$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 1,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.85 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 883.03$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 861.68$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 838$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.58 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 693.18$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 675.33$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 610$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…385bbacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 598.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 565.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 32c | 536.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 528.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 515.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 507.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Seattle Storm | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 496.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Seattle Storm | 7c | 469.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 32c | 432.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 424.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 386.58$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 378.41$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…82cfbacked Seattle Storm | 18c | 366$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 361.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Seattle Storm | 17c | 290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Seattle Storm | 14c | 279.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 265.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 246.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 233.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 231.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 208.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 205$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Seattle Storm | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 187.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Storm | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Storm | 30c | 169.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Storm | 28c | 155.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 151$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…1512backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 130.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 123.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Storm | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 111.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 106.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…3134backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 103.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 95.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Storm | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 94.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 92.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 72.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Seattle Storm | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 71c | 70.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 68.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 61.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Storm | 40c | 59.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 31c | 56.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 162.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.