MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8762d1041c935a9acf165eea57897df5aeeb7a600ab4aa8ebab39a99d8679d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Washington Nationals, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 91,296$35,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,081.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 79,012$47,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,794.77 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 49,595$26,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,748.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 45,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,699.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 33,314$19,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,991.97 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 32,247$13,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,569.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 22,215$9,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,957.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 21,346$11,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 19,061$15,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 10,050$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 8,556$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.63 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 6,786$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 6,359$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.63 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 6,345$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 5,938$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 4,750$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 4,113$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 4,098$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 3,316$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.39 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,009$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.84 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,868$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.27 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,841$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 2,350$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,175$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.66 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,804$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.75 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,803$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.2 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,586$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,400$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,310$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 1,270$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,203$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.44 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,040$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,013$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 939.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 905.99$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 880.01$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 849.41$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 28c | 848.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 800.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 769.17$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.63 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 735.59$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…5300backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 713.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 650$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 649.14$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 640.92$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.3 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 552.71$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.14 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 551.28$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 506.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 480$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 475$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 462.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 454.26$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 427.4$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…2b06backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 424.62$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 411$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 360.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 360.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 348.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 346.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 339$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 318.26$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 316.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 308.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 304$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 282.58$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…6688backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 273.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 269$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 263.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Washington Nationals | 19c | 257.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 256.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 244.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 242.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.