MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a07ec5cfc0f0c25491c95187d4875c940d8124c375e9e084bcb28897e7dc34

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,818 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	54c	10,884$5,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,877.36	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	46c	10,870$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,869.55	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,599.99	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	51c	3,714$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,902.34	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.99	246	51.6%127 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	47c	2,251$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.58	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	55c	1,664$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.2	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	52c	1,500$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	52c	1,154$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	46c	1,127$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.58	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	881.89$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.4	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	54c	870.4$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.86	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	54c	638$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.52	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	54c	568.96$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.24	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over	59c	523.81$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under	47c	521.62$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.07	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	41c	447.29$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.45	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over	54c	429$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.45	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	52c	420$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.4	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	370.16$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.6	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	49c	354$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.46	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	37c	311.26$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.55	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	36c	240.16$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.57	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	49c	179.32$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.13	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	75c	169.99$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	39c	167.35$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	52c	135.52$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.47	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	120$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	47c	120$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	45c	120$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	55c	105.43$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.54	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	57c	105.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc281…e079backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	65c	93.86$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under	42c	90.45$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.46	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	47c	81.79$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	273	45.4%124 W · 149 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	47c	77.76$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.21	445	53.5%238 W · 207 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over	49c	74$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	352	48%169 W · 183 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	46c	65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	37c	62.54$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	30c	51.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.9	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	21c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	48.69$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.44	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	48c	45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…5c85backed Under	49c	43.2$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.03	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	47c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Under	54c	37.13$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.13	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under	48c	34.77$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	254	48.4%123 W · 131 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	48c	34.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.98	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	52c	34.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9eb…1dfebacked Over	54c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70e…bed7backed Over	54c	33.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2052…d016backed Over	54c	33.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	64cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae70…8194backed Over	54c	33.11$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	64c	33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Over	54c	32.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc00b…ae4ebacked Over	54c	32.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…cc49backed Over	54c	32.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6384…f6f5backed Over	54c	32.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	36c	31.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Over	54c	31.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…125abacked Over	54c	31.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5c…a2ddbacked Over	54c	31.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c83…b6f1backed Over	54c	31.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae3b…b7d4backed Over	54c	31.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb611…e22dbacked Over	54c	31.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2a7backed Over	54c	30.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	65cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed Over	54c	30.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6833…bb84backed Over	54c	30.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	65cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0e…7f2ebacked Over	54c	30.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79a9…fc5dbacked Over	54c	30.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Over	58c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	105	57.1%60 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9683…7009backed Over	54c	29.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…9cb2backed Over	54c	29.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Over	54c	28.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.61	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Over	54c	28.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	65cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8404…d3f5backed Over	54c	28.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f46…9f54backed Over	54c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b41…c98abacked Over	54c	28.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	68cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90bd…cc0abacked Over	54c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb4da…3261backed Over	54c	27.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64dc…e416backed Over	54c	27.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5c…0380backed Over	54c	27.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over	55c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	250	34.8%87 W · 163 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2043…4a73backed Over	54c	26.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5b…59b8backed Over	54c	26.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	61cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4408…0ab2backed Over	54c	26.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6f…44e9backed Over	54c	26.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Over	54c	25.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event