TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$886,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$960,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Under63c173,210$109,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,087.744748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under60c100,083$60,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,036.8317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over34c99,999$34,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,332.9142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8004537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over24c35,721$8,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,703.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over19c24,006$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over36c23,626$8,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,505.297642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Under65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.6231644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c14,823$11,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.272,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c12,864$8,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c9,093$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.223,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over23c8,467$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.448723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5206149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under63c6,225$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.861,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Over35c5,625$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.687962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over34c5,411$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.3515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c5,313$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.4159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Under68c5,147$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.0617443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under77c5,061$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.0674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over36c5,020$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.5310744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Under64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over5c4,920$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.792544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under63c4,395$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.121533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c4,286$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.8910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Over32c4,063$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3004112.2%5 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under63c4,058$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.7432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under67c4,000$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under64c3,750$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3509846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c3,482$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.162,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under64c3,374$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.7334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over37c3,344$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.0248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over39c3,340$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.68254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over37c3,300$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…5a58backed Under63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.62133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over33c2,991$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9876050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Under55c2,700$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2036434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under65c2,690$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.4684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked Over33c2,547$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.5113231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3758…e05ebacked Under63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.951936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c2,343$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over37c2,300$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over36c2,222$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9214348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over28c2,200$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c2,172$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Under67c2,161$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.994148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over34c2,050$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c2,026$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.621,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over35c2,025$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Under67c2,015$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.9310458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x746d…328ebacked Over33c1,909$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.121010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under65c1,811$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.841,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over37c1,807$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.112,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over19c1,758$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under63c1,728$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.2739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under63c1,718$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9417747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…fa0abacked Under65c1,696$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.712487.5%21 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under64c1,572$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Under67c1,547$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.46732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under67c1,520$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.625537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb521…34aebacked Over36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under65c1,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.545550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Over33c1,480$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.47439.2%29 W · 45 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Under69c1,465$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.663467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over33c1,451$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa5…7fdbbacked Under72c1,388$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec1…c05fbacked Under77c1,356$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under58c1,220$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.473745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over34c1,165$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39614612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over33c1,134$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.085044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Under50c1,073$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.717648.7%37 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over59c1,037$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.093161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c1,029$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11c…fb8dbacked Under58c1,020$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.511145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over39c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…6207backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Under61c1,000$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.44341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over36c1,000$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3407…c3ebbacked Over44c999.9$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.962433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64c3…71f9backed Under68c970.79$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b001backed Over36c958$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.082147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c949.24$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over36c939.5$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.221,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…d72fbacked Under65c927.88$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under72c907.47$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Under73c906.69$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5621349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over36c901.26$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over5c823.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24823747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.