Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3476dba1638d282e7f8d5757f6d9b239ebf0c2c8c12c1b95175954967a6f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 2,719$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,138$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Over | 33c | 975.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.85 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Over | 62c | 702.09$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…884bbacked Over | 34c | 505.44$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 33c | 309.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 32c | 299.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 31c | 276.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 234.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 233$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 33c | 225.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 205.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 194.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Over | 35c | 172.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…dde3backed Over | 33c | 165.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Over | 33c | 157.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 66c | 154.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…896abacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Over | 33c | 70.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…994fbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 34c | 51.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…f775backed Over | 32c | 41.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…7ddabacked Over | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…3666backed Over | 34c | 31.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…fb74backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 66c | 23.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 68c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.