Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b13af76c53b8254550ec9e4e6c7bf0428b555b251db076283c6a6ba895314b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,424$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over | 69c | 1,907$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.26 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 31c | 1,310$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.03 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…95d6backed Over | 69c | 999.9$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 70c | 874.97$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 483$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 69c | 433.33$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…cb3abacked Over | 68c | 411$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 253.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 204.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 27c | 193.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 31c | 165.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 68c | 146.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…4bd4backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…2ffebacked Over | 73c | 128.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 30c | 105.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked Over | 69c | 92.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Over | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Over | 69c | 55.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…8b4dbacked Over | 65c | 41.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…4c62backed Over | 70c | 40.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…2092backed Over | 71c | 40.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…3df0backed Over | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…386fbacked Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…12debacked Over | 72c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Qatar (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.