TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c304.7$207 inLost-$206.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under31c217.41$67 inWon+$150.014470.5%31 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+67.2%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under47c217.4$102 inWon+$115.229947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c95.18$44 inWon+$51.023,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe67c…33f2backed Over73c53.52$39 inLost-$394348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under27c46.62$13 inWon+$34.038062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3554…f433backed Over54c40.89$22 inLost-$223638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c39.62$19 inWon+$212,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f33…7af9backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost-$209043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under32c36.7$12 inWon+$24.9620553.7%110 W · 95 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.